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Valuation & Speculation - Tim Farrelly, Farrelly's Investment Strategy [Masters In Investing EP13]

Dealing With Speculation
Hence, if it requires, say, a thousand years to fit for easy flight a bird which started with rudimentary wings, or ten thousand for one with started with no wings at all and had to sprout them ab initio, it might be assumed that the flying machine which will really fly might be evolved by the combined and continuous efforts of mathematicians and mechanicians in from one million to ten million years — provided, of course, we can meanwhile eliminate such little drawbacks and embarrassments as the existing relation between weight and strength in inorganic materials. - The New York Times, 1903

The Facts About Rising Rates & Stocks
If 2020 wasn't wild enough for investors, welcome to 2021. From one extreme of lower rates for longer, to inflation fears and rising interest rates, investors have their work cut out for them.

Here's What Stocks Think of Higher Rates
You'd be forgiven for having missed the rise of longer-term interest rates in the US with all that is making headlines presently. In fact, the US 10Y-2Y yield curve is the steepest in almost 5 years. Why is this important you ask? Well, it depends on who you ask. Bulls will tell you it's a sign of recovery, and the bears will tell you this is the beginning of decline in stocks. Sentiment Trader recently shared their analysis, so I decided to take a look myself.

A Bullish 12 Months is Coming
The confusion and madness that unfolded during 2020 was like nothing we have seen before. In fact, the end of 2020 was a nail in the coffin for stock market pundits. Imagine you were an innocent bystander, just looking onto the chaos, trying to comprehend what it was that was going on - you would be shell-shocked.

Party Like It's 1999
Everyone loves a party. The bigger the better. Right? The slight downside to these big parties are the big hangovers. We saw this playout in the GameStop saga. Here's the latest total return for GameStop for the last 12 months just in case you missed it - to the moon (and back).

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